http://baybridgebaseball.com/2011/05/some-playoff-odds-for-nhl-nba-even-mlb-fans/ An A's-Giants blog Sat, 18 May 2013 11:46:40 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.4.2 http://baybridgebaseball.com/2011/05/some-playoff-odds-for-nhl-nba-even-mlb-fans/comment-page-1/#comment-4088 Jeff Fletcher Mon, 09 May 2011 15:37:20 +0000 http://baybridgebaseball.com/?p=2493#comment-4088 Gideon, my take on the NBA thing is that the better team is usually the one that's up 3-1, so they have a much better record for finishing out the series, even if they take off Game 5. To win game 5 to get to up 3-2, the series had to have been tied 2-2, so those teams are more even. In the NHL I think that small margin is more likely to be random than because of "momentum" Gideon, my take on the NBA thing is that the better team is usually the one that’s up 3-1, so they have a much better record for finishing out the series, even if they take off Game 5. To win game 5 to get to up 3-2, the series had to have been tied 2-2, so those teams are more even. In the NHL I think that small margin is more likely to be random than because of “momentum”

]]> http://baybridgebaseball.com/2011/05/some-playoff-odds-for-nhl-nba-even-mlb-fans/comment-page-1/#comment-4085 Gideon Rubin Mon, 09 May 2011 08:17:47 +0000 http://baybridgebaseball.com/?p=2493#comment-4085 Interesting take. Hockey appears to be an anomaly though. It's the only sport where Game 5 losers (up 3-2) win at a lower rate than winners (albeit just a 2.9 percent differential). Interesting that NBA Game 5 losers (up 3-2) do so much better than the winners (90 to 82.8). Hockey might be more momentum oriented. Hockey teams come back from 3-0 "all the time," Kobe said a few days back... Interesting take. Hockey appears to be an anomaly though. It’s the only sport where Game 5 losers (up 3-2) win at a lower rate than winners (albeit just a 2.9 percent differential). Interesting that NBA Game 5 losers (up 3-2) do so much better than the winners (90 to 82.8). Hockey might be more momentum oriented. Hockey teams come back from 3-0 “all the time,” Kobe said a few days back…

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