Posted By Jeff Fletcher on February 15, 2009 4:02 pm
If my colleague Andy Baggarly is correct, the Giants are not getting Joe Crede. That seems like a pefectly reasonable decision on their part.
I know as well as the next guy that the Giants’ offense is (probably) not good enough to get the team to the playoffs, which is why a guy like Manny (or even Adam Dunn) made some sense for them. However, Joe Crede is not Manny. He’s not even Adam Dunn. About all he does have going for him is that he plays the right position.
It’s true that Crede was a very productive player the last time he was healthy, but that was in a hitter-friendly ballpark three years ago. And the two years he’s missed have been because of back problems. I think you wouldn’t be losing much as a GM if you never gave a penny to a player who had been on the DL with a bad back. Backs are just nasty. (Which brings me to Randy Johnson, but that’s another post.)
Do you remember the last time the Giants signed a third baseman who was around Crede’s age, who had some very productive offensive years before hurting his back?
It was Edgardo Alfonzo.
Yeah, I hear ya.
Bottom line is Crede would have been just as big a gamble as Travis Ishikawa, the player who figures to get the at-bats that he would have gotten. I’ve done a little number crunching using the ol’ FPSNOTA (Fletcher Pulls Some Numbers Out of Thin Air), and determined this…
|Has a Good Year||Is a Bust|
So there is it, in black and white. Science.